Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 24, 2020

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Fri Nov 22 21:20:35 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Steyer has spent ~$40 million on ads, almost exclusively in the first 4 states, and only gotten to ~3% in the polls there. So spending $30 million spread out over the *entire country* isn't likely to move the needle that much. — PolitiTweet.org

NEW: Bloomberg has reserved more than $30 million TV ads beginning on Monday. A huge show of financial force. Stor… https://t.co/YvJ9rb6dOt

Posted Nov. 22, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It looks from this as though assumptions about ideological "lanes" are mostly correct in Iowa, where the position of the top 6 candidates from left to right is Bernie - Warren - Harris - Buttigieg - Klobuchar - Biden — PolitiTweet.org

Very interesting @Civiqs crosstab in new IA Dem caucus poll for @IowaStateU: 2nd-choice vote tabulated by 1st choic… https://t.co/YUI81gLOib

Posted Nov. 22, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

That's fair. $30m *per week* would be a different order of magnitude. But there are also likely to be significantly diminishing returns. — PolitiTweet.org

Otoh -- maybe. Otoh -- this is just one week. Would $30m a week for two months move the needle? (Spoiler alert: No… https://t.co/7OvagVEcU4

Posted Nov. 22, 2019 Hibernated