Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated Yes

Last Checked April 21, 2020

Created

Tue Nov 19 22:33:15 +0000 2019

Likes

215

Retweets

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

With that said, it's pretty darn early to be talking about scenarios this specific. Odds are that something will come along to disrupt the current equilibrium; it may even be disrupted a few more times before Iowa votes. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 19, 2019 Hibernated

Preceded By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

One scenario worth thinking about is that other than Biden, no one's an obviously safe bet to get >=15% of the vote in the South. (Even *with* a post-IA/NH surge, Buttigieg might be weak enough in the South to be <15%). And if you don't get at least 15%, you don't get delegates. — PolitiTweet.org

Is Mayor Pete's rise good for Biden, by hurting Warren before the South?

Posted Nov. 19, 2019 Hibernated

Followed By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

If you look at average of favorability ratings among *general election* voters in recent telephone polls, you get this: Buttigieg 29/29 (0) Biden 44/45 (-1) Sanders 45/47 (-2) Warren 39/41 (-2) So all D's doing pretty mediocrely but Buttigieg is less well-known than the others. — PolitiTweet.org

If Democratic voters are looking to avoid nominating a niche candidate who appeals way more to the sensibilities of… https://t.co/yBLm3JRdAn

Posted Nov. 19, 2019 Hibernated