Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 21, 2020

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Sun Nov 17 18:29:52 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Early returns on how Warren is handling the scrutiny phase are somewhat mixed, although her surge was quite robust (lasting over many months) so my prior is she'll keep most of her gains. Buttigieg Surge 2.0 means a Buttigieg scrutiny cycle 2.0 is coming soon with results TBD. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 17, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

By contrast, Buttigieg, although his surge in April/May was more modest, weathered the storm somewhat well, raised a lot of $, remained in a better position than he was pre-surge, and was fairly patient before making his next big move (going on attack vs. Warren from the right). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 17, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Iowa's effect on the polls is a lot more complicated than people think. There's not a one-size-fits-all bounce from winning the state. Sometimes the bounce is enormous. Sometimes it's NEGATIVE. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 17, 2019 Hibernated