Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 21, 2020

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Sun Nov 17 18:15:10 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

A big part of winning a primary campaign is how you handle it after your surge is over and coverage enters a more skeptical phase. It's a bit like a poker player who is running really hot/lucky and then loses a big pot or two. Do they go on tilt or steady themselves? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 17, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The way I see it—please recognize that these percentages are imprecise—is that maybe 10% of the D electorate is only going to vote for Bernie (among the current plausible contenders) and another 10-15% is only gonna vote for Biden. The other 75-80% is relatively fluid. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 17, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Harris had a major surge in June/July and then her campaign seemed to totally lose its way once (somewhat inevitably) her numbers began to fade a bit. Beto had sort of a pre-primary surge in Dec/Jan, the bubble popped a bit, and he never quite lived up to the lofty expectations. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 17, 2019 Hibernated