Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 21, 2020

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Sun Nov 17 16:41:36 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The way I see it—please recognize that these percentages are imprecise—is that maybe 10% of the D electorate is only going to vote for Bernie (among the current plausible contenders) and another 10-15% is only gonna vote for Biden. The other 75-80% is relatively fluid. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 17, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This helps explain why Sanders and Biden tend to have pretty steady numbers while Buttigieg and Warren see theirs swing up and down a lot. — PolitiTweet.org

Across the 18 early states, Sanders supporters are more likely than backers of the other leading candidates to say… https://t.co/k8lIARGZur

Posted Nov. 17, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

A big part of winning a primary campaign is how you handle it after your surge is over and coverage enters a more skeptical phase. It's a bit like a poker player who is running really hot/lucky and then loses a big pot or two. Do they go on tilt or steady themselves? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 17, 2019 Hibernated