Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 21, 2020

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Sun Nov 17 15:17:30 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Per @ForecasterEnten, this seems pretty significant in Iowa. 38% of Democratic caucus-goers think Warren is too liberal, up from 23% this spring. (Just 4% say she's too conservative.) And Iowa caucusgoers are a pretty darn liberal bunch! https://t.co/pDI44clAPA https://t.co/KVYY1WCiC1 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 17, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So one stylized way to read recent US elections is that the GOP has indeed paid a fairly significant price for being too "extreme", but this is offset by the Electoral College/rural bias of the Senate/2010 gerrymanders, to the point where elections have been quite competitive. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 17, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

There's something to the notion that Democrats tie the "too far left?" question to vague electability concerns. But on health care, voters have more precise feelings & the public option is more popular than M4A among D voters, which may explain some Warren -> Buttigieg movement. — PolitiTweet.org

You hear it again and again with Democratic voters: They *personally* agree with Sanders or Warren on X, but they'r… https://t.co/xO6iJK1j4c

Posted Nov. 17, 2019 Hibernated