Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 21, 2020

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Sun Nov 17 14:10:39 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So one stylized way to read recent US elections is that the GOP has indeed paid a fairly significant price for being too "extreme", but this is offset by the Electoral College/rural bias of the Senate/2010 gerrymanders, to the point where elections have been quite competitive. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 17, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This would be clearer if people focused on the popular vote. If you add up the totals for the most recent elections in each state, the GOP lost the popular vote for the: —House by ~9% —Presidency by ~2% —governorships by ~3% —Senate by like 10%+ (too lazy to calculate exactly) — PolitiTweet.org

It isn't enough to say "Republicans win lots of elections." That's fine. The question is "would they win more elect… https://t.co/NIGCETmnwE

Posted Nov. 17, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Per @ForecasterEnten, this seems pretty significant in Iowa. 38% of Democratic caucus-goers think Warren is too liberal, up from 23% this spring. (Just 4% say she's too conservative.) And Iowa caucusgoers are a pretty darn liberal bunch! https://t.co/pDI44clAPA https://t.co/KVYY1WCiC1 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 17, 2019 Hibernated