Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 21, 2020

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Sun Nov 17 01:01:24 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I was skeptical of the Buttigieg Surge 2.0 narrative a few weeks ago but, obviously, no way to deny it now. It does seem to be concentrated in the last couple of weeks rather than immediately after the October debate. — PolitiTweet.org

CNN/Des Moines Register Iowa caucus poll (Nov. 8-13, MoE +/- 4.4 percentage points): Buttigieg 25% (+16 since Sep.… https://t.co/UZB4N7HdmD

Posted Nov. 17, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

...and of the 55% who say they're liberal, at least half of them would say they're "somewhat liberal" rather than "very liberal". So you have a distribution something like: 25% very liberal 30% somewhat liberal 40% moderate 5% conservative — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 16, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Here are favorability ratings from that DMR/Selzer/CNN Iowa poll, on a 4-point scale from very favorable to very unfavorable. This is sometimes a leading indicator of who has the most room to see their numbers improve. https://t.co/ImX6pu8m4I https://t.co/7HJZ4s4LxB — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 17, 2019 Hibernated