Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 21, 2020

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Sat Nov 16 23:07:25 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

...and of the 55% who say they're liberal, at least half of them would say they're "somewhat liberal" rather than "very liberal". So you have a distribution something like: 25% very liberal 30% somewhat liberal 40% moderate 5% conservative — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 16, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'd add to this: people tend to overestimate the importance of TRENDS and underestimate LEVELS. The Democratic primary electorate *is* getting further left, no question about that. But still something like ~45% of D primary voters say they're moderate or conservative... — PolitiTweet.org

1) This turned into a THREAD: A notable theme of the 2020 Dem primary has been the degree to which some candidates… https://t.co/HguYRSPFNr

Posted Nov. 16, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I was skeptical of the Buttigieg Surge 2.0 narrative a few weeks ago but, obviously, no way to deny it now. It does seem to be concentrated in the last couple of weeks rather than immediately after the October debate. — PolitiTweet.org

CNN/Des Moines Register Iowa caucus poll (Nov. 8-13, MoE +/- 4.4 percentage points): Buttigieg 25% (+16 since Sep.… https://t.co/UZB4N7HdmD

Posted Nov. 17, 2019 Hibernated