Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 9, 2020

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Sun Oct 27 18:54:50 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@jbview Prediction markets—not quite the same thing as media conventional wisdom but often correlated with it—give Warren a 43% chance and Biden only a 19% chance, which is an awfully big gap even if you think she's a bit more likely than him to win (as I probably do, I think?). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 27, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@jbview Well, the big feature article in NYMag today strongly implied that it's only a matter of time before his campaign runs out of gas. And other news coverage makes constant reference to his declining polls, when it's not clear his poll toplines are really declining at all. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 27, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@ComfortablySmug It really amazing how many Libs can't even permit Trump to have *one good day* (nobody will remember this stuff by Tuesday) after US forces kill perhaps the world's most wanted terrorist. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 27, 2019 Hibernated