Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 9, 2020

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Sun Oct 27 15:40:47 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

A lot of the analysis that asks "how is Biden still winning?" seems to miss a major element in his support: A lot of D voters are moderate, or "somewhat liberal" rather than "very liberal", and prefer Biden's somewhat liberal, Obama-ish policy positions to Warren/Bernie/etc. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 27, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I think I'm gonna go with "the media says it's good news that al-Baghdadi was killed because, in fact, it's really fucking good news that al-Baghdadi was killed" rather than this galaxy brain take: — PolitiTweet.org

Trump’s insane behavior may mute it for a bit, but I doubt the press will be able to resist the “Trump victorious!!… https://t.co/MbIjipMe7J

Posted Oct. 27, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Yeah, people really get this wrong. Not only is Trump not some sort of political savant; he underperforms relative to the economy, etc. His coalition's strength in the Electoral College does mitigate some of that though. — PolitiTweet.org

I’ll say it till I’m blue in the face: Trump underperformed the fundamentals in 2016, and he looks likely to underp… https://t.co/sBNW7o9HJJ

Posted Oct. 27, 2019 Hibernated