Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 9, 2020

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Sun Oct 27 14:45:25 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I think I'm gonna go with "the media says it's good news that al-Baghdadi was killed because, in fact, it's really fucking good news that al-Baghdadi was killed" rather than this galaxy brain take: — PolitiTweet.org

Trump’s insane behavior may mute it for a bit, but I doubt the press will be able to resist the “Trump victorious!!… https://t.co/MbIjipMe7J

Posted Oct. 27, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

My view of the political effects of the al-Baghdadi raid: 1) Glad that we killed the bastard 2) Probably not many meaningful long term effects on Trump approval, etc. 3) Short term effects possible, and those could matter since Trump's in an extremely vulnerable political moment. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 27, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

A lot of the analysis that asks "how is Biden still winning?" seems to miss a major element in his support: A lot of D voters are moderate, or "somewhat liberal" rather than "very liberal", and prefer Biden's somewhat liberal, Obama-ish policy positions to Warren/Bernie/etc. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 27, 2019 Hibernated