Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 7, 2020

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Wed Oct 23 14:10:14 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Fortunately, this is not that hard to detect. So polls that depend on herding for their accuracy will see that reflected in the new version of their ratings. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 23, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

We'll soon (finally) be publishing our new pollster ratings and from working with the data it's clear that there's a lot of herding going on. Specifically, some crappy pollsters tend to copy off good pollsters and perform a lot worse when there aren't good polls in the field. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 23, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's a little hard to tell whether Warren is slumping a bit, holding steady, or continuing a gradual increase. Her polls this week have been fine but not great; people were premature in declaring that she'd tied/surpassed Biden in *national* polls when she never quite had really. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 23, 2019 Hibernated