Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 7, 2020

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Wed Oct 23 13:38:24 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Never mind PREDICTION, i.e. what will happen in the future. It will never cease to amaze you how often the media narrative about polling fails to match what's happening RIGHT NOW in front of your eyes, if you just look at a polling average for yourself. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 23, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Speaking of which, here's a chat we did about the supposed Buttigieg surge. I do think he has a decent path to the nomination! But the notion that something major has suddenly *changed* in the past week is just a completely bullshit DC/NYC insider story. https://t.co/RawxzNmqQ9 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 23, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

We'll soon (finally) be publishing our new pollster ratings and from working with the data it's clear that there's a lot of herding going on. Specifically, some crappy pollsters tend to copy off good pollsters and perform a lot worse when there aren't good polls in the field. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 23, 2019 Hibernated