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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Trump won independents by 16 points in Michigan, 11 points in Wisconsin, 7 points in Pennsylvania, 4 points in Florida. Those swing voters were super important! If Clinton splits indies with Trump in those states, she somewhat comfortably wins the Electoral College. — PolitiTweet.org

The idea that Trump won by abandoning persuading moderates and firing up his base is empirical statement that’s tot… https://t.co/UWOo0MMFsa

Posted Oct. 20, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @BrendanNyhan: @kwcollins @MattGrossmann @jbview @NateSilver538 There's no magic. Remember when Karl Rove was an unbeatable political ge… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 20, 2019 Retweet Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

What's also weird is the same tech-savvy writers who would happily acknowledge the limitations of digital ads in any other context (i.e. they're only marginally effective despite the ability to target customers, etc.) uncritically assume they're incredibly effective for politics. — PolitiTweet.org

It's not baffling at all! It has an incredibly simple explanation, in fact, although one that implicitly undercuts… https://t.co/O2rJTk48Dv

Posted Oct. 20, 2019 Hibernated