Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 26, 2020

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Wed Oct 09 16:38:34 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'll have a post up about this later this week, but at least in polls over the past 2 weeks, it's sort of a myth that Biden's falling in the polls. Instead, Warren's rising bigly and taking a bit from everyone: 2 points each from Bernie & Harris, 1 each from Biden, Booker, Beto. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 9, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Where does fundraising matter, empirically? Well, it's pretty predictive in races for Congress, especially races for the House. You can't make many inferences about the importance of presidential fundraising from congressional races and vice versa; they're very different beasts. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 9, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Maybe it doesn't matter in the long run if Warren wins the nomination, but it does seem weird that there's a lot of narrative about Biden's problems when Harris, Beto et. al. are having much bigger problems, and in many respects Sanders (who's stagnated in the mid teens) also. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 9, 2019 Hibernated