Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 26, 2020

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Wed Oct 09 15:39:43 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Where does fundraising matter, empirically? Well, it's pretty predictive in races for Congress, especially races for the House. You can't make many inferences about the importance of presidential fundraising from congressional races and vice versa; they're very different beasts. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 9, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Agree with most of this thread, and I'd also add: There's not much evidence that fundraising matters so much in raises for president, where there are huge amounts of earned media and campaigns take in enough money to hit the point of severely diminishing returns. — PolitiTweet.org

I don’t know whether Warren is making a strategic mistake or not by expanding her pledge against high dollar fundra… https://t.co/EJxJEEIFjg

Posted Oct. 9, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'll have a post up about this later this week, but at least in polls over the past 2 weeks, it's sort of a myth that Biden's falling in the polls. Instead, Warren's rising bigly and taking a bit from everyone: 2 points each from Bernie & Harris, 1 each from Biden, Booker, Beto. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 9, 2019 Hibernated