Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 26, 2020

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Sun Sep 29 15:50:55 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

What's more, they have to play this hand over and over again, on every Sunday AM talk show, in every Congressional hearing, etc. And they can't really fold it without conceding that Trump should be impeached. No predictions on what happens next, but it's a really bad position. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 29, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Anyway, that's the literal sense in which i think of Republicans as "having a weak hand" on Trump/Ukraine. It's not like Mueller where the GOP had just enough going for them to run a few bluffs, occasionally trap their opponents, etc. No. They have a *very* weak hand, e.g. 7♣2❤️ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 29, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It kinda seems like the initial movement in impeachment polls (i.e. polls from the middle of last week) was mostly among Dems while the newer polls (Friday/this weekend) also show pro-impeachment shifts among indies and sometimes Rs. Which makes sense given how the story tracked. — PolitiTweet.org

CBS published a Monmouth poll on Aug 22 that found 41% of Americans supported an impeachment inquiry (72% Ds, 39% I… https://t.co/e60IJ2TqDi

Posted Sept. 29, 2019 Hibernated