Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 26, 2020

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Sun Sep 29 15:50:55 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The key to the analogy is the longer you play (imagine you have to play 100 pots with 7♣2❤️ and similarly weak hands), the worse your problems tend to become. As a one-off, it's not *that* bad (if you mostly play strong hands) but over repeated trials, your strategy falls apart. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 29, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

With the very weak hand (7♣2❤️), by contrast, you're totally hamstrung. You rarely make a real hand, and you tend to be forced to bluff too often in ways that are pretty obvious. And almost every additional decision you have to make with the hand will compound your problems. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 29, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Anyway, that's the literal sense in which i think of Republicans as "having a weak hand" on Trump/Ukraine. It's not like Mueller where the GOP had just enough going for them to run a few bluffs, occasionally trap their opponents, etc. No. They have a *very* weak hand, e.g. 7♣2❤️ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 29, 2019 Hibernated