Tweet by @NateSilver538

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Dorky poker analogy for those of you who like that stuff: In poker, there's a big difference between a marginally weak hand (say, 7♣6♣) and a VERY weak hand (7♣2❤️). Likewise, there's a big difference between a somewhat strong hand (K♠J❤️) and a VERY strong hand (K♠K❤️). — PolitiTweet.org

Most of the key facts on Ukraine so far are 1) quite simple 2) are viewed as prima facie bad by voters (i.e. with o… https://t.co/vZap2w5wX9

Posted Sept. 29, 2019 Hibernated

Preceded By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Most of the key facts on Ukraine so far are 1) quite simple 2) are viewed as prima facie bad by voters (i.e. with or without a "quid pro quo") and 3) were *admitted to in the WH "transcript"*. All of that matters! It makes the White House's position extremely hard to defend. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 29, 2019 Hibernated

Followed By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

With the marginal hand (7♣6♣), you'll lose money if forced to go all-in. But you'll do fine in the context of an actual poker game, especially against hands like K♠J❤️. It has a lot of "playability": you can bluff, plus sometimes you do hit cards to make a flush, straight etc. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 29, 2019 Hibernated