Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 19, 2020

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Mon Aug 26 23:20:36 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This isn't really true*. Candidates leading in the polls at this point in the race win their nominations around half the time, or a bit more. Candidates polling at <5% win only ~2 percent of the time or so. — PolitiTweet.org

Your periodic reminder that a political survey conducted in August 2019 is as useful, prediction-wise, of 2020 as t… https://t.co/agSmL4HxsA

Posted Aug. 26, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

You have no idea which candidates I'd personally prefer to see as president and it basically has no correlation with which candidates I think are most likely to win. — PolitiTweet.org

Shocking (sarcasm). @NateSilver538 doesn't believe a poll. Of course he doesn't, it says progressives have taken th… https://t.co/sYpPrKh4fn

Posted Aug. 26, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

* Unless you're making a fairly subtle point about climatology, because I can predict reasonably well what the high temperature will be in, say, Honolulu, 6 or 12 or 18 months from now based on long-term averages. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 26, 2019 Hibernated