Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 19, 2020

Created

Mon Aug 26 22:27:31 +0000 2019

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2,970

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

You have no idea which candidates I'd personally prefer to see as president and it basically has no correlation with which candidates I think are most likely to win. — PolitiTweet.org

Shocking (sarcasm). @NateSilver538 doesn't believe a poll. Of course he doesn't, it says progressives have taken th… https://t.co/sYpPrKh4fn

Posted Aug. 26, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Is Warren still gradually moving up in polls? Very likely, yes. Is Biden gradually moving down? Quite possibly but not as clear. Is Sanders on a bit of an upward trajectory? Maybe, but even less clear. Have there been any sudden shifts in the past ~1-2 weeks? Pretty doubtful. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 26, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This isn't really true*. Candidates leading in the polls at this point in the race win their nominations around half the time, or a bit more. Candidates polling at <5% win only ~2 percent of the time or so. — PolitiTweet.org

Your periodic reminder that a political survey conducted in August 2019 is as useful, prediction-wise, of 2020 as t… https://t.co/agSmL4HxsA

Posted Aug. 26, 2019 Hibernated