Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 19, 2020

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Thu Aug 08 14:31:03 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mattyglesias Yep, that's a valid concern. As a default, polling errors do not tend to be correlated from cycle to cycle but there were problems in some of the same types of states in 2018 that there were in 2016. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 8, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

bUt I WaS ToLd ThAt TrUmP LoOkEd StRoNg In ThE TiPPiNg PoInT StAtEs aNd HaS a BiGgEr eLeCtoRaL CoLLeGe AdVaNtAgE tHaN iN 2o16 — PolitiTweet.org

PA poll (F&M): Trump 39 fav, 58 unfav (52 strong unfav) Trump 37% excellent/good job, 63% fair/poor Deserves re-ele… https://t.co/05Iga…

Posted Aug. 8, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

To be clear, my position on the Trump Electoral College stuff is: 1) It's much too early to say with any precision what the magnitude of Trump's Electoral College advantage (or disadvantage) will be & will continue to be too early until roughly the conventions in 2020. (cont…) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 8, 2019 Hibernated