Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated Yes

Last Checked March 19, 2020

Created

Mon Aug 05 21:20:56 +0000 2019

Likes

363

Retweets

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'm not sure why prices on Trump re-election at betting markets (and I think this is matched by the conventional wisdom writ large) have shifted strongly in his favor over the past few months when the fundamentals don't seem to have changed much. https://t.co/qpmkmQfImF https://t.co/b5tKsGF3me — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 5, 2019 Hibernated

Preceded By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I think Kamala Harris's campaign is going *pretty* well, but her inability to sustain her bounce after the first debate, plus a fairly lackluster second debate, has me asking a few questions. For instance: Is Harris the new Rubio? https://t.co/i7ATkeY6Vn — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 5, 2019 Hibernated

Followed By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I should clarify: I think Trump was being underestimated by the markets before, and the price now (50%-ish) seems fine, more or less. But I don't really see how his circumstances have *improved*. His approval rating is unchanged and the risk of recession/economic headwinds is ↑. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 5, 2019 Hibernated