Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 19, 2020

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Thu Aug 01 14:55:12 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

That's not what the public polls reflect, though. Biden is generally still No. 1, often by a fairly comfortable margin, in polls of voters who are paying the most attention to the campaign and/or are most likely to vote. — PolitiTweet.org

in a campaign, a consultant might look at Biden's #s differently. we would see that among activists and the most en… https://t.co/EIKRXVl1mm

Posted Aug. 1, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I've thought Sanders's chances have been overrated all cycle but the conventional wisdom has shifted to being a LOT more dismissive to the point where I'm *kinda* tempted to buy low? We'll see if he gets a bump in the polls, though. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 1, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Warren and Buttigieg do tend to move up in samples of highly attentive voters, whereas Sanders tends to move down. So there are some shifts. But not enough to knock Biden out of No. 1 and a lot of his voters are from groups (65+, black) that turn out at high rates in primaries. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 1, 2019 Hibernated