Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 19, 2020

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Thu Aug 01 14:45:24 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I've thought Sanders's chances have been overrated all cycle but the conventional wisdom has shifted to being a LOT more dismissive to the point where I'm *kinda* tempted to buy low? We'll see if he gets a bump in the polls, though. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 1, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I think it's hard to NOT have Biden as the frontrunner. His polling lead over the other candidates is pretty substantial. Primary polling isn't great but *good enough* that I don't think there's enough other data to outweigh it. He's still <50% vs. the field, though, IMO. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 1, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

That's not what the public polls reflect, though. Biden is generally still No. 1, often by a fairly comfortable margin, in polls of voters who are paying the most attention to the campaign and/or are most likely to vote. — PolitiTweet.org

in a campaign, a consultant might look at Biden's #s differently. we would see that among activists and the most en… https://t.co/EIKRXVl1mm

Posted Aug. 1, 2019 Hibernated