Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 19, 2020

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Thu Jul 25 17:12:22 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@Nate_Cohn My point is that **any** set of assumptions at this stage is inherently imprecise because the election isn't for a year and a freaking half and so debating which assumptions are the least-worst is irrelevant. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 25, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

You're making this way too complicated. My critique is that you're offering false precision. There's just not that much we can say about the Electoral College right now beyond a couple of fairly loose priors (e.g. its more likely to help than hurt Trump). — PolitiTweet.org

--the data covers many modes: online, live interview RBS+result, online+live interview RBS, in-person, and the har… https://t.co/IghXYVTtTI

Posted July 25, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@Nate_Cohn And yet your article is delving into detail on Waukesha County (based on one Marquette poll?) and Miami-Dade like it's the day before the election. It's offering ridiculous levels of precision that could fool readers who don't know better into disregarding the huge uncertainties. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 25, 2019 Hibernated