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Tue Jul 09 18:55:17 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's gonna be one of those races where the polling could show a close race, but the fundamentals strongly favor McConnell and McConnell probably wins. But if you're not providing for, say, a 15-20% chance of McGrath winning, your mental and/or statistical model is overconfident. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 9, 2019 Hibernated