Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 19, 2020

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Tue Jun 25 02:34:32 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@JohnJHarwood It's not a perfect comparison. Democratic voters might be more sensitive to certain types of things, but, on the other hand, Biden's a far more conventional candidate than Trump and his "errors"/apostasies aren't of the same magnitude. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 25, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Less snarkily, it's only June, and I do think Biden has a lot of vulnerabilities and is an underdog relative to the field (i.e. <50% to win the nomination). But you'll rarely go wrong by discounting how much the media controversy of the week will move the numbers. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 25, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Another one of these for Harris. A gradual shift in support among black leaders from Biden/undecided to Harris would be one of the most significant events of the primary. https://t.co/a0LKUaxUvn — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 25, 2019 Hibernated