Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 19, 2020

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Tue Jun 25 02:29:14 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Less snarkily, it's only June, and I do think Biden has a lot of vulnerabilities and is an underdog relative to the field (i.e. <50% to win the nomination). But you'll rarely go wrong by discounting how much the media controversy of the week will move the numbers. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 25, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

A lot of people expected Biden to drop but, to be fair, it's hard to think of any recent examples where a candidate continuously held on to 30-35% of the vote in the primaries by capitalizing on support from older non-college voters when the media constantly predicted his demise. — PolitiTweet.org

Morning Consult finds that Biden's standing remains... unchanged this week compared to last nationally. (FWIW, Warr… https://t.co/8OMGKHmg8h

Posted June 25, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@JohnJHarwood It's not a perfect comparison. Democratic voters might be more sensitive to certain types of things, but, on the other hand, Biden's a far more conventional candidate than Trump and his "errors"/apostasies aren't of the same magnitude. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 25, 2019 Hibernated