Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 5, 2020

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Thu Jun 13 21:15:16 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @thecity2: @NateSilver538 @ZachLowe_NBA @HowardBeck Yes, suggests either they had a very strong prior that was just very wrong, or they… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 13, 2019 Retweet Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@kpelton I'm not sure how to define an identical situation. I think with our *ex-post* knowledge, the chances that *KD* was gonna get reinjured were extremely high, i.e. if you randomly restart G5 10 times so that he's subject to different movements, maybe he gets hurt 6 out of 10 times. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 13, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@kpelton If we generalize to the risk of a serious re-injury (not necessarily ACL) under conditions where a guy 1) comes back a couple weeks ahead of regular-season timetables 2) is in very vigorous game action after 3) barely having practiced...IDK how to estimate but gut says ~20-30%. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 13, 2019 Hibernated