Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@kpelton I'm not sure how to define an identical situation. I think with our *ex-post* knowledge, the chances that *KD* was gonna get reinjured were extremely high, i.e. if you randomly restart G5 10 times so that he's subject to different movements, maybe he gets hurt 6 out of 10 times. — PolitiTweet.org