Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Democrats are underdogs to win the Senate but *conditional on winning the presidency* they're probably slight favorites to win the Senate. So the modal outcome in a D presidency is probably like a 50-50 Senate nominally controlled by D's with Joe Manchin often voting with R's. — PolitiTweet.org
Dylan Matthews @dylanmatt
The modal outcome in 2021 is something like "Biden/Warren/Sanders is president with a GOP majority in the Senate an… https://t.co/lm26KKa8ut