Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 5, 2020

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Thu Jun 13 15:03:18 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @TerrenceDoyle: The Blues did it, y'all. My latest for @FiveThirtyEight tells you how. https://t.co/Fxg2Y1bFMW — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 13, 2019 Retweet Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

There's a decent case that Warren has emerged as a clear No. 2. Also a case (which I mostly don't buy) that Harris has fallen off the lead lap. Her favorables are good but she isnt a lot of people's first choice. But let's wait and see what things look like after the debate. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 13, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Democrats are underdogs to win the Senate but *conditional on winning the presidency* they're probably slight favorites to win the Senate. So the modal outcome in a D presidency is probably like a 50-50 Senate nominally controlled by D's with Joe Manchin often voting with R's. — PolitiTweet.org

The modal outcome in 2021 is something like "Biden/Warren/Sanders is president with a GOP majority in the Senate an… https://t.co/lm26KKa8ut

Posted June 13, 2019 Hibernated