Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 4, 2020

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Wed Jun 12 16:17:23 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

For instance, Sanders is doing worse with voters who are paying a lot of attention to the campaign, which might be a sign that he'll *lose* ground with the actual electorate (or in likely voter polls) as compared with the registered voter polls you see now. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 12, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This adds error/uncertainty, and primary polling is generally a rough enterprise, but the polls are probably about as likely to be overestimating Sanders as underestimating him. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 12, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Overall, I remain taken by surprise at how taken by surprise the Sanders campaign seems to be that Biden is polling in front of them. A lot will change between now and Iowa and polls could be off even then, but they seem to have a lot of wishful thinking in lieu of a strategy. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 12, 2019 Hibernated