Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 4, 2020

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Wed Jun 12 16:17:21 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This adds error/uncertainty, and primary polling is generally a rough enterprise, but the polls are probably about as likely to be overestimating Sanders as underestimating him. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 12, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Younger voters are harder to reach, but pollsters attempt to compensate for that by upweighting the younger voters they do reach to match their projected composition of the electorate, as @fshakir surely knows. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 12, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

For instance, Sanders is doing worse with voters who are paying a lot of attention to the campaign, which might be a sign that he'll *lose* ground with the actual electorate (or in likely voter polls) as compared with the registered voter polls you see now. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 12, 2019 Hibernated