Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 4, 2020

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Wed Jun 12 13:25:29 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@dandrezner It could be, though there are circumstances when it might be in a candidate's interest to leak polls showing them doing poorly. But my point is more that internal polls are hard to contextualize, and if readers don't have basic info about what they actually said, it's useless. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 12, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Frankly, reporters fuck up all the time when characterizing the meaning of *public* polls, even when they *do* have all the details (exact numbers, dates, sample sizes). Internal polls are harder still to interpret for various reasons, so without the specifics it's useless news. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 12, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Probably also worth remembering that news orgs like NYT put a lot of stock in vague reports about Clinton's rosy internal polls in the closing stages of the 2016 campaign, leading them to ignore public polls showing the race tightening after Comey, etc. https://t.co/tyIZ8cJb5p — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 12, 2019 Hibernated