Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 4, 2020

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Wed Jun 12 13:21:56 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Frankly, reporters fuck up all the time when characterizing the meaning of *public* polls, even when they *do* have all the details (exact numbers, dates, sample sizes). Internal polls are harder still to interpret for various reasons, so without the specifics it's useless news. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 12, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

No it's not. General election polls mean next to nothing this far out anyway. And if we don't know what the polls actually said & instead just get some vague characterization of them, readers lack the basic Journalism 101 information to put the story into any meaningful context. — PolitiTweet.org

@NateSilver538 The fact that the president was briefed on internal polling, and this briefing shaped his reaction, is quite newsworthy.

Posted June 12, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@dandrezner It could be, though there are circumstances when it might be in a candidate's interest to leak polls showing them doing poorly. But my point is more that internal polls are hard to contextualize, and if readers don't have basic info about what they actually said, it's useless. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 12, 2019 Hibernated