Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 27, 2020

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Tue May 07 16:30:55 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@pbump Beto's result in the CNN poll was a little outlier-ish. I'd say being up 7 points versus somewhere between 0 and 3 (for the other major Democrats) in the polling average is pretty meaningful. In fact, I doubt the differences between the candidates are actually that large. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 7, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I don't think those polls are super meaningful, maybe not at all meaningful, and you'd ideally want to look at the Electoral College rather than the popular vote (although, doing so might help Biden). But, for now, Biden does have some evidence for his electability claims. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 7, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@jbarro I agree, espeically given that the hypothesis "candidates who are perceived as being far from the center underperform electorally" has a lot of empirical evidence behind it, at least as compared with the rest of the electability debate. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 7, 2019 Hibernated