Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 27, 2020

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Tue May 07 16:25:25 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I don't think those polls are super meaningful, maybe not at all meaningful, and you'd ideally want to look at the Electoral College rather than the popular vote (although, doing so might help Biden). But, for now, Biden does have some evidence for his electability claims. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 7, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Per RCP, Biden is 7 points ahead of Trump on average, Beto up 6 points, Bernie 3 points, Harris 2 points, Warren tied, Buttigieg tied. So he is polling better. — PolitiTweet.org

Biden gets a boost on electability but he doesn't poll much better than other Democrats. Instead, many people seem… https://t.co/VQDRVQJby2

Posted May 7, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@pbump Beto's result in the CNN poll was a little outlier-ish. I'd say being up 7 points versus somewhere between 0 and 3 (for the other major Democrats) in the polling average is pretty meaningful. In fact, I doubt the differences between the candidates are actually that large. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 7, 2019 Hibernated