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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 15, 2020

Created

Thu May 02 16:13:33 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@SeanMcElwee @mattyglesias Also, "other things equal, put a slight finger on the scale for a candidate from the Midwest" is probably not a terrible heuristic. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 2, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@SeanMcElwee @mattyglesias Also, Obama had VERY good favorability ratings with the general electorate early on, there was plenty of reason to think he's be electable. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 2, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@SeanMcElwee @mattyglesias I'm saying that the heuristics were right in Trump's case. He underperformed a generic Republican and almost caused the GOP to blow it against a candidate with a 40% favorability rating, and in fact did lose the popular vote and probably would have lost EC too if not for Comey. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 2, 2019 Hibernated

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