Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 9, 2020

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Tue Apr 30 22:37:34 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Collectively, between the 5 post-Biden announcement polls, the sample size is reasonably large. And at least one of the polls (Morning Consult) has a very large sample. For candidates who are down in every poll, e.g. Bernie, sample size is not the reason why. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 30, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This poll actually has a larger sample size than a lot of what's out there, and all telephone polls have trouble reaching young people and rely on demographic weighing. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 30, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

p.s. All the candidates who got big announcement bounces (Harris, Bernie, Beto) have seen their numbers fade back to where they were before. Biden probably will too. At the same time, when Bernie was peaking at ~25%, that was pretty ephemeral so ~15-18% might be his new normal. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 30, 2019 Hibernated