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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 16, 2019

Created

Mon Apr 15 15:55:38 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Literally every poll included Bernie's name before he formally declared too, because he was in exactly the same position as Biden—a de facto candidate for the nomination, clearly signaling that he was going to officially run, even though he had not yet formally entered the race. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 15, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Biden *is* running for president, for all intents and purposes, and pollsters are correct to include his name. Formally declaring for the race is a largely symbolic step. It's also good for polls to ask about people's 2nd choices in case Biden drops out / "decides not to run". — PolitiTweet.org

Current Affairs @curaffairs

the constant inclusion of Biden in polling even though he is not currently running is beginning to feel like an eff… https://t.co/vPp6fm9arR

Posted April 15, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Bettors on PredictIt now think Pete Buttigieg is the most likely Democratic nominee*. https://t.co/UD0zTmIz2j * Citing prediction markets is not necessarily an endorsement of the wisdom of said markets. https://t.co/CStCrMmE9x — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 15, 2019 Hibernated

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