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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 16, 2019

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Mon Apr 15 15:50:53 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Biden *is* running for president, for all intents and purposes, and pollsters are correct to include his name. Formally declaring for the race is a largely symbolic step. It's also good for polls to ask about people's 2nd choices in case Biden drops out / "decides not to run". — PolitiTweet.org

Current Affairs @curaffairs

the constant inclusion of Biden in polling even though he is not currently running is beginning to feel like an eff… https://t.co/vPp6fm9arR

Posted April 15, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Democrats are not having the consistently strong performance in state legislative special elections that they had in advance of last year's midterms. — PolitiTweet.org

Nathaniel Rakich @baseballot

Democrats are overperforming in special elections by 5 points so far this year. BUT the standard deviation is huge,… https://t.co/efpvTlAmbH

Posted April 15, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Literally every poll included Bernie's name before he formally declared too, because he was in exactly the same position as Biden—a de facto candidate for the nomination, clearly signaling that he was going to officially run, even though he had not yet formally entered the race. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 15, 2019 Hibernated