Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 12, 2019

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Wed Apr 10 16:28:45 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@DKarol @mattyglesias I don't know. Not very many non-scandals shift public opinion by as much as the Amazon thing did for AOC. So even if it fades, it could still have a material impact. And it's relevant to all kinds of local discussions about development in NYC, which occur perpetually. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 10, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mattyglesias I just think the Amazon/NYC example is pretty much the exact opposite of the point you were trying to make. It actually turned out to be a huge deal with the (ahem) "silent majority" of voters who weren't as active or vocal about it initially. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 10, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mattyglesias @DKarol I don't think, if you'd have laid out your priors ahead of time and your theory were right, that you'd have expected there to be anywhere near as large a shift in public opinion against AOC as there has been so far. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 10, 2019 Hibernated