Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 12, 2019

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Tue Apr 09 19:30:08 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

2012 general election — pretty good in states, but were off on national popular vote 2012 primaries — up-and-down; tended to overrate Romney's vote 2008 — my memory is fuzzy, I recall them having some problems in the Dem. primaries but mostly being good in the general — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 9, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

FWIW here's my recollection about how good early exit polls were in recent US elections: 2018 midterms — mostly quite good 2016 general election — bad! 2016 primaries — mostly fairly good, caught a few surprises that polls missed 2014 midterms — quite good, caught GOP wave early — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 9, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This is probably my best tweet. — PolitiTweet.org

When you go low, I go high 80% of the time, and knee you in the balls the other 20% of the time.

Posted April 9, 2019 Hibernated