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Nate Silver @NateSilver538
These aren't backtested results. All real forecasts made in real time, in advance of events. One think this exercise demonstrates is that Nassim Taleb (@nntaleb) has no idea what he's talking about, but I thought everybody knew that already. — PolitiTweet.org
Michael Kaufman @KaufmanMic
@R_Thaler @NateSilver538 @JustinWolfers @DavMicRot @NateSilver538 are you backtesting the predictions you made *imm… https://t.co/raWfwjtLxF