Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 12, 2019

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Thu Apr 04 23:52:47 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This Democratic primary is weird in that for pretty much every single candidate, I oscillate between thinking their chances are overrated and underrated. Usually I have a stronger (though sometimes wrong) view on where the conventional wisdom is misguided. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 4, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Here's the interactive itself. Obviously, there are lots of ways to criticize 538. But some of the more philosophic… https://t.co/n1aoSBMRld — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 4, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

These aren't backtested results. All real forecasts made in real time, in advance of events. One think this exercise demonstrates is that Nassim Taleb (@nntaleb) has no idea what he's talking about, but I thought everybody knew that already. — PolitiTweet.org

@R_Thaler @NateSilver538 @JustinWolfers @DavMicRot @NateSilver538 are you backtesting the predictions you made *imm… https://t.co/raWfwjtLxF

Posted April 5, 2019 Hibernated