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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 27, 2019

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Sun Mar 31 14:07:24 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

As an aside, there's an interpretation here that's pretty bearish for Trump re: 2020. If his approval rating is 1) largely locked in 2) at a number that wouldn't ordinarily be enough to ensure re-election, that's bad news for him; he'd rather see more volatility in his polling. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's been a few more days and Trump is now at...42.0% approval in our average. Not really much (if any) movement po… https://t.co/ETF529SXSl

Posted March 31, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

re: public not expecting a smoking gun, here's a helpful poll from last year. 39% (mostly Ds) expected Mueller to f… https://t.co/NrhxbMYgOl — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 31, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The good news for Trump is that it's entirely plausible the Democratic nominee will be equally unpopular by November 2020. That, plus the Electoral College, is basically how he won in 2016, after all. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 31, 2019 Hibernated