Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 27, 2019

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Sun Mar 31 13:55:26 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

re: public not expecting a smoking gun, here's a helpful poll from last year. 39% (mostly Ds) expected Mueller to f… https://t.co/NrhxbMYgOl — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 31, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

By context I mean: —Other than highly partisan Dems, who have other reasons to dislike Trump, the public didn't expect a smoking gun —Nobody has seen the Mueller Report itself —Even in the Barr Memo, the news isn't all good for Trump, e.g. he's not exonerated of obstruction — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 31, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

As an aside, there's an interpretation here that's pretty bearish for Trump re: 2020. If his approval rating is 1) largely locked in 2) at a number that wouldn't ordinarily be enough to ensure re-election, that's bad news for him; he'd rather see more volatility in his polling. — PolitiTweet.org

It's been a few more days and Trump is now at...42.0% approval in our average. Not really much (if any) movement po… https://t.co/ETF529SXSl

Posted March 31, 2019 Hibernated